This year looks way different from 2015, he could be right.
Pish posh
Let's face it, the market is way bigger and way smarter than in 2015. And we all know what the halving does to the price long term. Think about it.
Doesn't mean it won't continue going upwards after the halving, but $30-$40k next May makes sense to me.
I think that you are trying to disagree with the wrong person.... don't you know you are communicating with Hairy the mac "daddy"?
Anyhow, you are asserting the obvious.
Of course, 2019 is different from 2015 for all the reasons that you said and more... yet there is similarity too... current btc prices are already moving in a fractal that accounts for a lot of what you refer, which is more than a 10x stepped up fractal.
Yeah, there could be a decent amount of frontrunning of BTC's price this time around, but there are also likely going to be decently large resistance points along the way that includes taking several runs at various price points, such as $9k or $10k and likely some other higher price points too, such as $16k-ish.