Sometimes, our analysis depends on what we believe.
I respect your analysis, Op but we still couldn't hide the fact that the market could possibly drop down unexpectedly anytime.
However, the market situation is still showing that it could possibly reach the best value this year.
It's just hard to finalize or conclude an exact value for now.
It is very normal for market to drop most especially when it gets a long stretch of increase, but that doesnt mean it is dropping low to stay there for a long time, it will drop to surely gather more momentum that will see it through the next increase. So if people predict that bitcoin is heading towards $10k, doesnt mean it will just continue to pump without having a little correction.
That correction is what gives people the opportunity to buy again and the result of this is what usually leads to it increasing further for the next trend. I see a correction soon before hitting that value and I am hoping to buy at that correction again.