This is really hard, but the best investments will be in projects that create real utility buyer demand that is not 100% dependent on speculative trading.  Sounds impossible, I know, but these are the projects that will have long-term stable growth.  Almost all projects today are solely dependent on speculative trading market hype. Day traders can play the rise-and-fall game with the markets but the long-term value comes from real sustainable business models that provide value to the marketplace and can generate real profits.