Yeap, this is definitely most likely. Unfortunately for the Americans, it looks like the coins/tokens that would be able to trade will be very limited. Binance Jersey is pretty much only limited to BTC/ETH/BNB/FIAT pairs. The US version is most likely to be the same.
1. binance is segregating USA from international customers the same way bittrex did with their international platform. the reason bittrex did so was to comply with the SEC by ceasing to offer securities to americans. as a result, USA customers on bittrex don't have access to most IEO offerings + a few dozen security token markets, but we still have access to hundreds and hundreds of altcoin markets.
The Bittrex move is what I had in mind when I first heard of the news about Binance US.
It's interesting to see what happens to the entire Binance volume after this. With limited trading pairs available to the US market, I expect a huge decline in volume but that remains to be seen.