Now the question would be, will the bitcoin price reach $10,000 one day?
A lot of people think so here:
http://d.pr/tzlIThis guy bets 57 BTC on it :O
30-11-13 20:40 Yes 99`886 57.00000000 13Pko / 1K4Fs
if he bets this touch 10,000 then I am feeling sorry for him because its not going to touch this figure in 2014
This prediction market bet does not function like a regular bet.
It's actually a derivative in disguise. Betting "No" acts as an insurance policy against Bitcoin not reaching $10,000. Depending on how much of your total holdings you bet on no, this could actually operate like a put option.
As such the distribution of the bets does not necessarily correspond to the actual beliefs of the betters.