Reviving this thread.

BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=470453.msg26854986#msg26854986

Current fair value 44k
and -1.423

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)