According to the Coinmarketcap website, Bitcoin dominance has breached the 71% level and is now reported at 71.2%. Including the forked coins (BCH, BSV, BTG.etc), the total market cap for BTC+forks comes to slightly above 74%, while the altcoin market share has dipped below the 24% mark.
I am sure that a lot of users may be unhappy about this, but I am delighted as more than 90% of my crypto assets are in the form of BTC. I had sold most of my alt holdings in 2018.
I am not very sure about the reasons behind the rising BTC dominance. But I suspect that the users have become more matured now, and a lot of them have realized that investing in shitcoins is simply not worth all the risk.
Here is my outlook for the major cryptocurrencies:
1. BTC: The prices will continue to increase and a new ATH may be reached by the end of 2019 or by 2020. The dominance will continue to increase and may reach 80% by the end of this year. But one concern I have is regarding the transaction fee. It has risen by more than 10x since the start of the year. Another 10x increase would be catastrophic.
2. ETH: The exchange rates are still lagging behind the ATH. The poor health of the ICO market is probably pulling ETH down. The Cryptopia hack also played its part.
3. XRP: I would say that this one is the most worthless and unreliable altcoins among the top 10. Therefore I am not surprised by its falling market share.
4. BCH: Holding well as of now. In case the BTC transaction fee spikes again (like what we had during 2017 Dec), then this coin can rocket upwards.
5. LTC: One of the best performing alts. However I won't be surprised if a correction occurs post block reward halving.
6. EOS: I don't know much about this coin.
7. BNB: I would consider this coin as overpriced. A correction is due.
8. BSV: A lot will depend on the future actions of CSW. Very unpredictable coin.
9. USDT: Everything was going well for Tether until the scandal at Bitfinex was revealed to the public. Now a lot of the users don't consider this coin as a reliable stablecoin. In the near future it will be facing a lot of competition from the other stablecoins.
10. TRX: An overpriced shitcoin. I don't have anything good to say about this one.