Post
Topic
Board Collectibles
Re: Crypto Stamps- New Collectable Blockchain postage stamps
by
Kryptowerk
on 27/06/2019, 10:53:53 UTC
Btw: Your chances for one or more red stamps is 40.5% if you ordered 50

Yes indeed, i got the same 1-(1-1500/150000)^50=0,405
That being said, the exact calculation involves the hypergeometric distribution. However i agree that,
in this case, the binomial distribution can be used instead.

Best regards




The only thing i am worried about this calculation is if it’s truly a random selection that they are offering to people.

I hope so too...but  then where humans are involved  Huh

Jup, I am very suspicious of that too.
Today my first order of 25 stamps arrived...
Very poorly results.
- 18 black
- 4 green
- 3 blue

I might just be very very unlucky... but chances are, some orders might be tempered with by some of the employees doing the packaging and are actually prescanned (mostly for reds but possibly also for yellow ones).


can you please check if the Token ID for those stamps is serialized, you can check very easy via crypto.post.at / opensea
i got so far one delivery via online shop that had continous IDs
would be interesting to see if you have some missing/sorted

Yes, I am checking this with a group of people who also bought stamps.
There were some inconsistencies, but mostly it's continous IDs.

However: I am retracting my suspicion that orders might be pre-scanned for now.
Today I got a purchase of 13 unstamped and 25 stamped ones, including a few yellow ones and... yes... one red one.
Super happy right now.  Cheesy

There is a larger order pending, with a bigger sample size I will report back again then, as it will be easier to see with a high confidence level, if pre-scanning probably occured or not.
However with this relatively small order I just received I definitly got very lucky and find it super unlikely, that pre-scanning occured.