I do not believe s cyclicity. I think people invent their own cycles and follow them.
What to believe - the choice of each. However, there are facts. As in the previous cycle, after a year of falling prices for
BTC began to rise. Although this time the growth is too sharp. But, I believe, this will soon be compensated by a significant correction.
The correction is inevitable, but I think that it will not be very big. It makes no sense at the moment to lower the price below $ 10k.