As soon as Bitcoin reaches 20k and new ATH, new hype will start. At that time fresh money will start to pour into Bitcoin and from there into alts.  Right now there is no fresh money. Or very little and Bitcoin grow from altcoins. When this will happen who knows. Considering last 2 cycles it is way to early. But we might just have 2 bull runs same as in 2013. That way one might start soon.  But of course Monero can do something on its own.