Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion
by
MA_talk
on 14/07/2019, 18:05:14 UTC
2015.75(October 1st) was just the beginning you are simply mistaken, this is a common misconception by many outsiders. any link posted to be taken seriously will have to come from his website. how can you post evidence from a website other than his blog ? this is absurd.

"We will have two years ahead of us and 2015.75 is just the BEGINNING – NOT THE END. This is a major change in trend of monumental proportion."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/understanding-cycles/debt-debt-more-debt-2015-75/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/history/ancient-economies/2015-75-the-crash-in-government/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/uncategorized/peak-in-government-corruption-2015-75/

2015.75 was the peak in government
 the Dow was indeed crashing going into October 1st, thank you for providing the chart that show exactly that.  Who else was calling for new highs on September 29 2015?
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/future-forecasts/stock-markets-crashing-into-the-2015-75/

belief truly is blind



@Gumbi, you said that 2015.75 was just the beginning.  Now it's about 2019.5.  That is already 3.75 YEARS LATER!  Every 8.6 years according to Armstrong's ECM models, there are supposedly some significant economic event.  So 44% of the 8.6 years of ECM is gone, and we still have NEGATIVE interest rates in the European market.

Beginning?Huh  Are you joking?  We are almost at the mid-point of the ECM cycle, and nothing major has happened, dude!!!  As I said, Armstrong ALWAYS use play of words to protect "his forecast".  Ambiguous Terms like

"Beginning of the trend", or
"2020/2021", which should be supposed to mean the middle of 2020, BUT instead interpreted as a super-wide window from 2020/1/1 to 2021/12/31, and most likely BEYOND.


So the bond crisis of 2015.75 was a "Great" forecasting record by Armstrong, and that was an excellent documentary by trulycoined on how Armstrong FAILED time after time for his LONG-TERM forecast, and Armstrong never bothered to admit his own mistakes.

In summary, Armstrong SUCKS at predicting long-term.  And he SUCKS at predicting for daily trades, as you have demonstrated.  And he SUCKS at predicting at monthly intervals.

Oh, you said that your trade was your own mistake?  That is EXACTLY the filtering bias that Armstrong keeps playing.  When the trades don't go well, it's the users' mistakes, or even Armstrong's personal opinions.  When the trades go well, it's excellent work from Socrates.  HELLO!!!  Didn't I say that you MUST post the trading criteria for BOTH BUY & SELL beforehand?  If you make 100 trades, and credit all the winning trades to Socrates, and put all the losing trades to your own mistakes, then Socrates will be perfect.  That is exactly the same game that Armstrong has been playing all along.