This is kind of bumping an old post, but hacknoid, if you are still here, would you agree that December 2018 was the low to the start of a new super-cycle? Your latest comment seems to suggest such.

I think it probably was. I've started moving from trying to predict cycles to trying to time long term lows and highs using a "running average variant" of the Mayer Multiple and I have to say, while it has massive periods of inactivity, it backtests very well and seems to time well with periods where I've naturally both bought and sold. It's been nice to have something that does this, but by doing so, I've found that my buys and sells in the past of very low percentages actually served to hurt my long term gains. In some cases, the recommended sale or purchase based on trying to maximize profits recommends selling positions of fiat or BTC in the 27% or higher range (as a percentage of total holdings).

The lows in December triggered three such buys (using fiat presumably gained from two previous recommended sales in late 2017). I'm tempted to throw a decent chunk of both coin and fiat at this new system, but I'm still kind of worried about a "hyperbitcoinization" event as detailed here: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/hyperbitcoinization/

If such a scenario would happen, it would seem to me that I would be risking sales at an inopportune time, perhaps even as the global hegemony of the US dollar is coming to an end. It's because of this that I'm considering a basket of commodities and other currencies, but I'm even worried that that would be overshadowed by such a hyperbitcoinization event. I'm curious as to what you may think.