I think bitcoin will move back to $10,300 today.
Today is almost over. At least on Europe or GMT. And Bitcoin price doesn't seem to meet your expectations (and my wish).
However, OP, interesting list of reasons for this price target. (/sarcasm)
It officially ended here as well, but sadly no bounce back to five digits, but I'm not surprised though, many have shared their analysis and it's pretty obvious that support is weak, probably $9800 will be touch but that's just about it.
To the OP, don't be dis hearten if your prediction is a missed. We can bounce back that's for sure but not today or at least the graph doesn't point to a positive upward trend.