Halfway through 2021 before we even see 10k again according to this analysis. Just looking at the cycles.

Ready to make a bet on it ?
I bet NO at 99%.
Second that. 99.999%
You haven't even had time to watch it. Look at the cycle again. That last pump sticks out like a sore thumb. Markets simply don't do that naturally.
See what happens with Bitfinex/Tether on Monday. That may put this whole pump in a very different context.
So Bet or not ? If there is an escrow here for the bet.
1 BTC ?
wtf has betting got to do with any of this ? You think just because your hopium's strong the appraisal's wrong ?
The points are well made - in particular that rally was one of the more "engineered" moves bitcoin has ever made so the guy is reasonable in looking at the longer term picture.
But is fundamentally wrong. Halving is every 4 years. So cycles are not getting longer. Yes, they will not be same length, but some shorter then other. I believe current will be shorter then last. What we know is that cycles will be weaker. And most people already put that factor in their prediction charts.
This video mentions that currently we can be in fake bull run. What is true. Depends how you look at things or of a mayor bull run in a cycle or of several smaller ones during one cycle. Yes we are to high right now. But we will definitely not hit the bottom. There is less then 300 days to the halving. And already two times whole world saw halving in action. They will not want to stay behind.