@MA_talk
The ECM is probably the best way to trade, in line with the business cycle. There is also no need to argue about it not being accurate to the day because this is not going to help you with your trade. Each market has its own unique cycle so it often will not line up perfectly with the ECM so for example the Dow Jones may make a cycle low in December which looks likely based off the monthly array since we also have a directional change in January.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/uncategorized/what-kind-of-trader-is-trading/@Gumbi, You are JOKING, right? How about you EXPLAIN the TRADE for the ECM of 2015.75 that is ALREADY BEHIND US, when Armstrong was screaming bloody hell about PEAK of Government confidence?
Now you have the supreme advantage of the hindsight, explaining an ECM trade for PEAK of Government confidence. Please tell me.
If you cannot trade that ECM date, HOW can you trade the next ECM date?And Armstrong LIED about ECM being accurate "down to the day", and your attitude is like, "oh, I don't care about his lying at all, because I can just trade the ECM."
SURE, tell us how to do that for 2015.75!
EVERY trader with some experiences would know shorting government bonds (government confidence) is the "best trade" for that, and they would have lost their shirts and homes, if they leverage the trade.
Please tell us how to short at the peak of government confidence with profits!