Those points that you have mentioned means a lot. It might be as is after the halving. But as we know, Litecoin is just following the herd and if bitcoin price moves higher, there's a chance that it might go as high as we have seen before. However, there's also some possibility that we are seeing like this:
I think halving is priced already. So Ltc price will not raise in short term. But in the future, cuz of less miner earnings and inflation, it will raise in future. but i said again, not in short term!