You seem to be describing Armageddon-like scenarios in which gold might prosper in such a way that is appreciating 10x or more from current value, ... unlikely scenarios, but we might chose to make 1% to 10% of our investment choices based on such scenarios, especially if we assign them a high probability (such as 10%, which seems a bit high to me, but might seem reasonable to some of the Armageddon nutjobs out there)
Q: Given an unending supply of inflationary medium, how long can a balloon keep expanding?
A: Exactly until the internal inflationary forces overcome structural integrity, causing balloon to burst.
- jbreher, proud monetary armageddonist nutjob since long before the turn of the millennia Noted: Jbreher admits to being one of the armagaeddon nutjobs. Hopefully, you, jbreher, are not staking too much of actual value (more than 10% - or even up to 20% in really seemingly stupid-ass crazy dedication) on such an unlikely scenario.
I don't know when, but I'm 99% certain there will be a grand worldwide monetary reset within my lifetime. Perhaps as early as next week.
I might subscribe to this, but the question is what form it would take.
Imagine for a moment that ALL bonds in developed countries (or at least up to 30 year) are with negative yield (like in Germany right now).
What would it mean?
To me, it would almost certainly mean that you would be charged for deposits. In a big picture this would look like system malfunction.
El-Erian recently said that fin system is not set up to operate with negative yields. Think of insurance and pension funds, for example.
In this situation, who would have deposits larger than a month or two of expenses?
As far as reset itself is concerned, the question is how it might happen and would it affect those pernicious negative rates?
Nothing a world war wouldn't solve.
Kill a few hundred millions of people and watch how high interest rates will go.
This looks like sarcasm to you probably but it isn't. This ends only one way. War.