countries are reluctant to announce a possible recession publicly.
The same day my (Dutch) government secretly took over one of our largest banks, after a silent bankruptcy, they were still telling the public the crisis would not hit in our country.
The EU government is also consistently overoptimistic in all of there predictions:
https://voxeu.org/sites/default/files/image/FromMay2014/mody11febfig4.png (chart)
On the other hand, governments completely underestimated bitcoin :-)