Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread
by
Scheede
on 28/09/2019, 19:09:40 UTC
I'm predicting next Lewandowski goal or even 2 at next league match.  Wink

SC Paderborn 07 - FC Bayern Munich Anytime Goalscorer Lewandowski, Robert @1.27 (sportsbet.io)

cannot find a better odd, but, my opinion is a good chance to bet this pair too, combined with Ronaldo's comeback quoting @1.69 for him to score, is a good total of 2.15  Cool

Didn't 1.27 is a little low to make a bet?
I mean ok, Lewandowski is a great striker and there are high possibilities for them to score a goal. But I don't follow a stategy to bet on such low odds. I feel like it is not worth it.

Well, I guess everybody is interpreting that sort of odds differently and as you have said correctly, it depends on the probability.

If I f.e. give 60% possibility for lets say "Lewandowski to score next match" than I need to have odds of 1,67 (100/60%) or above to have value and finally bet on it.

That said odds of 1.27 represent a 78% confidence for him to score, which is quite high to me, but as said before, who is seeing 80% should (have) pick(ed) it Wink