The more the price drops the higher the likeliness to get to $10k? Not sure where you got that information, but I'm pretty sure that's not how it works. In a technical analysis perspective, as far as I know, bitcoin should need to stay inside a certain price range for us to conclude that it's more likely for bitcoin to go back up to $10k. If it falls that certain price support, it's more likely for bitcoin's price to drop more.