It's like in the state lottery where you have to guess 6 numbers out of 45 right, for example. Someone could place 50% of all bets (and spend a lot of money therefore), but this doesn't imply that he will win but chances are very high, though.
The way I was counting it was the section of whales and the section of normal size bettors and golden ticket holders, which of these two groups is going to win. The whales say might have 200 tickets but there is only a thousand of them where as maybe we have 100,000 little bettors on the site with 2 tickets each. The chances of either a whale or the normal punter is equal because each section in total has the same amount of tickets.
I dont know where the distribution lies exactly but I will not be that surprised if the winning gold ticket holder for the Lamborghini turns out to have only ever got a couple tickets. Amazing but theres tons of guys like that, so one of us has a chance to win at least.
This same dynamic is why I quite quickly disregard all the whale theories on what drives price, do not underestimate the little guy not when theres 7 billion people in the world. The bigger audience always matters more and in terms of crypto it's where we are going to see the growth come from and imo the driving force for crypto is the people, hopefully every good business recognises this.