Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: $/BTC Time Series (Probability) Analysis
by
xjosx
on 16/09/2011, 14:05:53 UTC
I reiterate to the Bitcoin stability hawks... A lower price means higher volatility.

Maybe you've noticed from forum members, that people don't generally understand logs, exponentiation, nor fractions. A change from $4 to $3 is the same as from $40 to $39. I suspect this gives voice to the hawkish squawking. But I don't suspect anyone who could program a stability-bot suffers this dillusion.

Does your crystal ball shed any light on the future trend, plus or minus? My eyeball comparisons have run out of steam and I could use a good bed time story.

Same absolute change, different relative change. One represents a 25% drop in value, the other a 2.5% drop in value.