It is very difficult to calculate this, even we can do some calculation but finally it back to predict, the news may push market down or up, so calculation at this time may useless.
It is possible with an AI Trade Matching Technology and Trade Settlement on the BlockchainThis technology allows users to trade options contracts directly with one another peer-to-peer (P2P) without the need for an intermediary broker; with a proprietary system that was designed to leverage blockchain, cryptocurrency and smart contracts technology for automation and transparency in market data, trade contract intent & matching, transactional history, and trade profit settlement.
For improved efficiency, peer-to-peer trade matching on the platform is assisted by a specially formulated algorithm FairSenseTM, which analyzes trade intent patterns of users on the platform and matchmakes or suggests them to counterparty users.
The platform facilitates efficient functioning of a market and price discovery through proprietary developed intelligent algorithms that dynamically improve over time through machine learning. This helps retail users with trade matching, efficient price discovery and fair value analytics when conducting their trades.
Pages 5-7 in the document
https://level01.io/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/level01_whitepaper_final1-2.pdf