Think it's 50/50. What about you?
Now altcoin season sounds more like an illusion, although there is still hope. Honestly we all have to be careful with the altcoins we hold waiting for "altseason" since even if it comes, some team members who are more concerned with making money💰 will cash out on holders. I think altseason might come next year after people start diverting profit made from bitcoin rally (due to bitcoin halving) to altcoins.
it's not sound like an illusion but that depends on the bitcoin. People are still wasting to keep in their mind if altcoin is not yet coming but this time the altcoin season will depend on the bitcoin's hype. If bitcoin gets hype and this will give a whole effect to the altcoin. How do you know if that will come next year if you can't sure if bitcoin rally will come next year? halving will not always give bullish trend.
Please, see the old histories of bitcoin halving.