Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Re: bustabit – The original crash game
by
BoXXoB
on 11/11/2019, 20:46:40 UTC
Within a month I’ve been trying to develop a strategy for earning money on BaB, but nothing good has come of it. It turns out to make an algorithm that can work 5 hours bringing a plus, then 5 hours nothing, and then go to minus, this is the best script I have made. If anyone knows the grail, give a hint where to dig.

Invest in the site's bankroll or start your own site if you have the means, i.e. stop gambling, these are your moneymaking grails.
In fact I'm already close to finding the Grail, the answer to how to play lies on the surface, just no one is looking for easy ways and come up with something more complex, such as strategies with averages and medians. You can start the game after the crash below 1.13x. Judging by the history, trains below 1.27x are quite rare; you can earn bits in between this trains. Immediately after the crash 1.13, start the game with a doubling and Cashout at 1.27x.

my god man, what part of random don't you understand? there are no strategies.
The whole world is a set of systematic randomness. 2 people in one city cannot go crazy and go jump from the roof. More precisely the probability of such event is extremely small. We don’t see 5 times in a row bust at 1x, (I saw 3) just as we don’t see 10 times in a row at 10x, we can build an algorithm that tracks a sequence of rare events after which will start the game.

Your logic is incorrect. However much you may believe it's possible to predict when an outcome (in an independent event) is the most likely, it isn't. Each round of the game, the probability of an event remains the same. The event could be for example that the game crashes at 2x. Probability of this event is 49.5% for each round. You cannot take previous events into calculation as each round is independent from the previous rounds. You can calculate that the probability of an event after 999 rounds could be 99.99% but if the next round is independent from the 999 other rounds, there's no certainty that the event happens in the 1000th round.

EDIT: Added emphasis that this applies for independent events