Nothing wrong your prediction but if happen of course I'll lost 20% from my money, not good for me. Now I confuse, cut loss or not your post make me really bad. So far I still keep stay with my analyze but many people has same prediction like you. Maybe right if after replace open order please ignore all opinion because one will kill your mind but 10 will destroy your future.
Having our own way of perception is somehow be a good or bad outcome. As I just refer on the previous price of bitcoin it makes me realize that to have an outcome will just refer on your luck in the end. If you are lucky enough for your own perceptions well good for you as you just try to risk for possible good outcome.