What would happen if we took a new trader, somebody with zero knowledge at all, and I give them I dunno, .01 Bitcoins for free, for them to get started trading with. What is that, about $200 worth?
But here is the experiment. The experiment is to have them ONLY read this Speculator forum and nothing else is allowed. They are not allowed to use any charts, not allowed to learn TA or FA. They would just rely upon being just another bozo on the bus here at this Speculators forum. So: all of their trades would have to be based upon what they read at this subforum alone.
What would the outcome be? Big lose? or Big win?
You did not mention if hes going to day trade or hodl long term. If he day trade his chances to win would be very slim however if he hold it for long term, he has higher chance of making gains even if he bought Bitcoin at higher price.