Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon
by
TwitchySeal
on 11/12/2019, 05:59:17 UTC
Ok you are right.. That isn't "polls"..

Is this polls?

"This chart combines the latest  opinion polls into  trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released."

About the same as right now when Trump won.. And as stated, poll votes from California and similar hopeless states don't matter..


Trump underpolls because Trump voters are 69% less likely to waste their time taking polls..

There's a weird 'fuck the polls' mentality among some Trump supporters  

Can't blame a guy for being skeptical of information sources these days, can you?

That's a model, just like it says....  They have to figure out a way to decide how much to weight each poll and calculate the tons of different possible electoral vote final outcomes.  Even if somehow it was an accurate representation an the true odds of Trump winning were 42%....would you think think to yourself " self,  those polls were wrong! Trump won and it said Hillary had a better chance!  Bad polls!"