Saya juga gak begitu yakin penyebab penurunan, tapi bisa kita lihat dari beberapa statistik dari harga BTC
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5168990.msg52326300#msg52326300Lonjakan member yang bergabung di bitcointalk dengan harga BTC saat itu sama, Puncak median oktober 2017-februari 2018.
Jadi, saya berpendapat harga Bitcoin yang berperan penting di sini, membuat orang penasaran dan bergabung ke forum untuk mencari tau.
bulan berikutnya terjadi penurunan member diikuti juga dengan penurunan harga bitcoin. dan mereka mulai meninggalkan forum diikuti harga btc yang longsor hingga puncak november 2018 sampai sekarang member mengalami penurunan
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4685601.0 2018Month | Registered | Total at the beginning of the month | % increase | First user of the month |
January | 224 576 | 1 557 907 | 14,42% | First user of Jan, 2018 |
February | 112 212 | 1 782 483 | 6,30% | First user of Feb, 2018 |
March | 97 644 | 1 894 695 | 5,15% | First user of Mar, 2018 |
April | 86 898 | 1 992 339 | 4,36% | First user of Apr, 2018 |
May | 91 993 | 2 079 237 | 4,42% | First user of May, 2018 |
June | 77 683 | 2 171 230 | 3,58% | First user of Jun, 2018 |
July | 69 840 | 2 248 912 | 3,11% | First user of Jul, 2018 |
August | 54 384 | 2 318 752 | 2,35% | First user of Aug, 2018 |
September | 45 362 | 2 373 136 | 1,88% | First user of Sep, 2018 |
October | 39 354 | 2 418 498 | 1,60% | First user of Oct, 2018 |
November | 35 127 | 2 457 852 | 1,41% | First user of Nov, 2018 |
December | 23 504 | 2 492 979 | 0,93% | First user of Dec, 2018 |
Total: | 958 575 |
2019Month | Registered | Total at the beginning of the month | % increase | First user of the month |
January | 22 234 | 2 516 483 | 0,88% | First user of Jan, 2019 |
February | 16 202 | 2 538 716 | 0,63% | First user of Feb, 2019 |
March | 18 932 | 2 554 918 | 0,74% | First user of Mar, 2019 |
April | 17 910 | 2 573 850 | 0,69% | First user of Apr, 2019 |
May | 24 472 | 2 591 760 | 0,94% | First user of May, 2019 |
June | 22 357 | 2 616 232 | 0,85% | First user of Jun, 2019 |
July | 18 913 | 2 638 589 | 0,71% | First user of Jul, 2019 |
August | 16 452 | 2 657 502 | 0,62% | First user of Aug, 2019 |
September | 14 561 | 2 673 954 | 0,54% | First user of Sep, 2019 |
October | 17 891 | 2 688 515 | 0,66% | First user of Oct, 2019 |
November | 16 356 | 2 706 406 | 0,60% | First user of Nov, 2019 |
December | ?? | 2 722 762 | ?? | First user of Dec, 2019 |
Kalau kita lihat ada lonjakan kecil member di mei-juni 2019. Penyebabnya ya karena harga Bitcoin yang melambung. Dan menurun sampai sekarang diikuti juga harga bitcoin saat ini.