I'm a long term HODL'er and I sometimes think so. But it is much easier to be a long term HODL'er and have your delusions if you have been one since 2013
and Bitcoin was on Oct 18th, 2013 when I started mining on my KNC Jupiter BTC miner about 1 BTC a day!
If you are long term holder for bitcoin then you are smart but the market is filled with thousands of shit coins and token projects which are worthless and if you invest in those during the initial phase and did not bother to sell of when you hit the profit then you are going to be the bag holder. So where you invest makes a huge difference.