is it too cynical to short some stocks?
We're putting everything in canned food and shotguns.
If this things R0 is near 4 as some fear, and it kills at a rate of 14% this could be a very big deal.
... best numbers/info I can gather from various sources, with uncertainties:
- R0 between 1.4 - 3.8
- lethality between 3 - 14%
- asymptomatic transmission/incubation period 9 - 14 days (carriers could be out there spreading it for 5 days 2 weeks after catching it!!, fux)
- transmission mechanisms include bodily fluids (blood, saliva, etc) or aerosols (coughing, sneezing, farting, ejaculation, etc) contracted through respiratory or eyes, etc ... no reports of airborne yet.
- SARS-like sympoms with terminal phase having organs overwhelmed, pneumonia (drowning in lung fluids)
- officially recorded source is a bat virus jumped to snake virus jumped to humans ... bat-snake flu