Trolls said bitcoin was in a bear market since Jan 2018 and the pump from 3 100 to 13 880 was fake thanks to chinese ponzi Plus Token. I say bitcoin has always been in bull market. 2018 and late 2019 "crashes" were just exhausted bulls taking a rest before the next charge. If we have another 6 months extensive bull run like in the first half  of 2019, we may go up to 30 000 around the halving (4.5x from the local bottom 6 400). If we have some corrections on the way (which is more probable), then we might be around 18 000. Worst case scenario is to go around 11K at the halving. After that it should be a matter of several months to break the ATH. Anyway, the dreams of cheap coins below 6 000 are dying for good! The bear kids were spoiled by the many stops of the train in 2018 and 2019. Now they have to jump in motion if they don't want to be left out. I am all in although I didn't take that big loan which I wrote about in my previous posts. I found it is comforting to invest all fiat savings and have a non mortgage loan possibility as a backup in case some colossal crash happens.