How much my memory serves me, and according to the official data from CMC price of 1 BTC on January 1, 2016 was around $400, and it stay like that next 5 months until halving. I wouldn't call it bullish, and therefore OP assumption looks like another worthless speculation.
Price growth is realistic to expect after halving, especially in the last quarter of this year, but the new ATH not before 2021.
For those who want to check it out :
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/?start=20130429&end=20200227I still have a vague memory of the year 2016 (before halving) and I can remember a significant amount of people calling a Bitcoin crash coming. Remember, 2015 was the worst year from 2013 until today. All my friends have told me to sell my BTC in 2016 but I've done the opposite.
I still do not regret my choice. Follow your path if you've started paving it & become deaf to all the news and opinions around you. If you have experience and a good instinct, you'll be more than well.