Pelicans is good but Blazers will fight for that spot too, 60% might be too much, that is correct because there are still 5 teams that are competing to enter in the playoffs, and that fact that there are still a lot of remaining games, this tells me that a team like Blazers might do better when Lillard returns.
Pelicans are 3 wins behind the 8th spot Memphis and teams have around 25 remaining games left. That will be tough for Pelicans to land on the playoffs. On that 25 games remaining, Pelicans should outmatch Memphis in terms of winnings but that's not all as while doing that, Blazers and teams on 9th to 10th spot will surely establish winnings along the way. This will be tough for Pelicans.
I don't see them in Playoffs for now. 60% chance for that tough situation, maybe 40%. Too much expectation for Zion's return. Maybe next season they will have a sure spot as we see Zion's impact when he came back playing for the Pelicans.