Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: Coronavirus Outbreak
by
CoinCube
on 07/03/2020, 17:16:19 UTC
Forgive me for NOT adopting Twitchy's philosophical methodologies (rightly referred to as a 'reaction' by you.)

Fair enough like I said I suspect this thing was engineered in Wuhan and got out because they screwed up but there is no smoking gun yet.

We do have some US data that indicate that the reported mortality rates out of China are accurate.

Ten deaths have been connected so far to Life Care Center of Kirkland. A further 15 of the the remaining 69 residents are reported to have been transferred to hospitals in the last 48 hours.

We don't know the average age of the population there but presumably its high as the facility is a nursing home. That gives us a mortality rate of approximately 10/79 = 12.6% with a further 19% hospitalization rate presumably for severe or critical illness. This looks to be on par or perhaps even worse worse then the Chinese data but presumably these folks are particularly vulnerable as they have health conditions that necessitate them living in a nursing home.

Also of note of the initial first responders who responded to 911 calls from the facility before the outbreak was diagnosed a total of 31 firefighters and 3 police officers would ultimately be quarantined or isolated. As of this writing, 18 are showing symptoms.

Sources:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/06/us/coronavirus-washington-state.html
https://www.foxnews.com/health/washington-care-center-hospitalizes-residents
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/times-watchdog/family-members-of-residents-at-life-care-center-of-kirkland-nursing-home-decry-response-to-coronavirus/

Edit: Zerohedge is reporting that there was 69 residents at the facility after not before 15 were transferred to the hospital. In this case mortality so far is slightly lower 10/94 = 10.6% in this elderly and vulnerable population.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/its-awful-situation-washington-moves-take-over-nursing-home-epicenter-outbreak