Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
fillippone
on 10/03/2020, 12:37:08 UTC
<...>
UPDATE:
Quote
The situation in Italy: March 8, 2020, 6.00 p.m.
POSITIVE 6387
DECEASED 366
HEALED 622


Press conference of the Head of Civil Protection Angelo Borrelli at 6 pm on 8 March:

7375 people who contracted the virus, currently positive 6387, 366 died and 622 recovered.
Among the 5061 positives:

2180 are found in home isolation
3557 hospitalized with symptoms
650 in intensive care

A couple of graphs I made myself on the Johns Hopkins University Database
https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

Each graph plots the number of occurrence of the appropriate case, starting from the first day when such occurrence was registered on each region.


Please note the logarithmic scale.

Now someone explain me:

  • What's wrong with Italy? (More death than any other countries, considering Positives: i.e. fatality rate?
  • What's wrong with Germany (Positives in line with other countries, no deaths)
  • What's wrong with US/UK (Very few death considering the positives)

Fatality Rate computed for your convenience:

Code:
Region   Positives  Death  P/D
China    80652      3070   3.81%
Italy    7375       366    4.96%
Germany  799        0      0
Spain    500        10     0.02%
US       2584       16     0.62%
UK       206        2      0.97%



Someone, smarter than me, had my onw idea and polotted some similar (albeit better) graphs:

Quote
Here's the coronavirus data, overlayed with the dates offset by the amounts shown.  One of these countries is not like the rest.  Everyone else will be Italy in 9-14 days time.



https://twitter.com/markjhandley/status/1237119688578138112?s=21

There are a lot of useful information on that thread: like this one



US, 5 tampons per million?
Really?
Of course if the tampon is going to cost me in the thousands dollars to be taken, I will live with my cough for the moment, only to die for other reasons later, this is driving the numebr down. but Really: how can expect the coronavirus outbreak in the US stay low for long? WHat will happen when the number will inevitably rise?