You should not be overly fear inducing bearish Majormax.. it is not necessary....  - because you are inducing more hysteria than what you yourself actually believe, based on your own representations of your own beliefs.

Accordingly, your 99% scenario puts btc at a low of $1,200 in the worser case (99%, helrow?) scenarios, therefore, seems reasonable that you should be using your $1,200 number rather than $100.... Therefore, I fixed your own statement above to be more in line with your own thinking... no need to overly induce fear based on outrageous scenarios that you do not even deem to be within the realm of 99% probability, amiNOTrite?  Concededly, each of us are going to come to our own outrageous numbers of the extremes, but you should use your own numbers rather than hypothesizing some more severe extreme of someone else who you have already concluded is not being reasonable.. which means $1,200 for you specifically, not $100.