Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: Coronavirus Outbreak
by
Ibian
on 16/03/2020, 21:06:52 UTC
I have a high level of confidence that this is a bioweapon

At 3-4% fatality rate?  Must be US made.  Smiley
Look closer.

Closer to what mate? According to the recent stats at 181k confirmed cases and 7k deaths, it's less than 4%. However, according to scientists, the number of infected people is waay higher than official numbers. What's your point exactly?
The virus is asymptomatic for 2 weeks and the number of infected has a doubling time of 6 days. This gives us, roughly, death/(currentinfected/4). Or in other words multiply the 4% by 4 for the correct number.

The second main method to calculate it is death/(death+cured). Pick whichever one you prefer.

'The virus is asymptomatic for 2 weeks' Where did you get this info from?
Common knowledge for weeks. At least. Check google and youtube.

No, it's not common knowledge, just give us your source or shut the fuck up. You are making shit up.
Alright look. I have very little investment in this thread and none in you. I do not have time to hunt for a direct link that you may or may not choose to poo-poo on. I told you where you can go to find the info you want. If you don't care enough to spend 30 seconds to do a search then that's on you.

Idk, 'Conclusion:
This work provides additional evidence for a median incubation period for COVID-19 of approximately 5 days, similar to SARS.'  (https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2762808/incubation-period-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-from-publicly-reported)
Up to 14 days. That's the important part.

Also, a doubling time of 6 days? Where did you see that? According to this https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/ the doubling time seems to be faster?
Exact numbers are constantly changing as things develop, and italy is one of the hardest hit areas. The point is, people are calculating it wrong and any actual expert knows it is wrong. Legacy media, health officials and politicians are outright lying to us.