No presidential election in 2020 (martial law, martians invading, etc) means a draw.
This was supposed to be a joke about an incredibly unlikely scenario.. Right??
Now.. Not so much..
Yeah, I missed the chance to become a prophet by putting "global pandemic" in there...
I'm reasonably certain that the election will happen even if it needs to be staggered over two weeks to keep people 6 feet apart and bathe everyone in bleach. However the EC still needs to announce the result by Jan 31, otherwise it's a draw. Agree?
I should probably work on figuring out this:
Seriously though, I was thinking about setting up a locktime transaction to a trusted third party who could pay out if I happen to die AND lose the bet. Or just set it up to go to eddie13 and hope he returns it to my heir if I win. In some ways this would be more robust than 2-of-3 multisig (fewer third parties).
But that's not particularly high on my priority list. Besides - the chance of me somehow screwing it up and/or forgetting to move the coins if I'm alive is probably higher than me kicking the bucket within a year.
Famous last words LOL. I figure I have a ~2% chance of "kicking the bucket within a year" now.