Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Yet another analyst
by
exstasie
on 30/03/2020, 23:32:55 UTC
I would pay close attention to what happens in the US stock market here. It is very tightly correlated with BTC right now. Stocks are at a potential inflection point at the 20-day MA, with bad coronavirus and unemployment news continuing to come out:

These unemployment projections are off the charts, truly unprecedented. According to the St. Louis Fed, the unemployment rate could reach 32% (47 million workers laid off) in Q2: https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/03/30/coronavirus-unemployment-could-top-32-47-million-lose-jobs-fed-says/5091156002/

Somehow the stock markets remain buoyant, hovering near last week's highs, even as the death and unemployment projections get worse. Are we near an inflection point, on the cusp of a bearish reversal? Or will the relief rally continue?



BTCUSD rallied with stocks and has now hit a major resistance zone. This may have been our OTE retrace before more downside, with targets in the low $5,000s or upper $4,000s:



It really depends what traditional markets do. We could also be building out a new sideways range like this: