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Actually yes , altcoin season's will only be dependent on bitcoin price The one should start the increase will be on bitcoin.
There are altcoins who have had their own demand and are not dependent in bitcoin to rise but very few altcoin have this.
So to answer the basic question's when the altcoin season will start just always look at the bitcoin price and he will always give you signal when.
good to know buddy, since im actually pondering on stocking more ilcoins. good to have feedback as well on when it could increase.