isn't a bad idea either. BTC is unpredictable, as we all know.
Betting on BTC is real gambling in it's purest form. I am yet to come across an expert who can actually predict the pricing correctly.
It is a fact that it is impossible to predict the price of any market correctly but that does not mean that people does not take calculated risk, if you heard about derivative trading where there is a trading volume of around 318,630 daily volume and if everyone start thinking like you mentioned then we might not see these kind of trading volumes for the speculative market.