The most important question on everyone's mind right now is Bitcoin set to rally into the halving or will we see another dump and retest of the recent lows?
Do you realize the market
just rallied 94%? And that the halving is one month away? This
is the halving pump, just like the one that occurred in May-June 2016 right before the July 2016 halving. During that rally, price just about doubled, but shortly before the actual halving the market crashed 40%.
Be prepared for that. Logically the halving should be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event since it's public knowledge. I would expect sellers to front run the event (like 2016) for the same reason.
I don't think we'll be seeing the March lows again, but depending where this rally tops, a 30-40% drop wouldn't be out of the ordinary.
It was a 30% drop after the 2nd halving right?
I agree if we were to rally past the "fair value" of $11,400 the halving prior we could see a pullback. Also throughout the bull market phase expect MULTIPLE 30% pullbacks as during the last market cycle.
Personally, I don't view it as Bitcoin just rallied 100% off of the low (which is of course has) but nothing more than a vicious liquidation loop on Bitmex which self corrected within hours after Bitmex went offline. Price is basically back to where it was before the liquidity crisis.