Currently most influence on Bitcoin price have upcoming economic recession. Halving is a sure event that was planed 11 years in advance, No uncertainty there. With economic recession only sure thing is that it is here. How severe will be no one knows. Two days ago Wuhan finally started opening after 14 weeks. That are good news. A lot of world is locked right now and a lot of world is only getting infected with covid-19 and lockouts will only start in upcoming weeks. We will have to lie with virus until the vaccine a year from now. That is a lot of uncertainty. No one can predict  price of Bitcoin a month from now. Impossible. Even biggest whales are powerless.