It is my analysis only according to my forex and crypto experience.
experts can give their suggestions to bring proper conclusion.
It is basically your forex experience and not crypto experience

Your analysis didn't take care of covid-19 effect to the world. If May is next month, we have few days to it if I'm right... So I don't think this will really be possible. For the moment, price won't go too high but drag for sometime because of there are no pure decision for buy.