I think the epidemic has begun to be controlled in every region and as it is now heading towards recovery from covid-19 for the stock market, of course this will start from the bottom again because the economy receding yesterday can still rise again this year, including bitcoin which is starting to grow bit by bit even price recovery can happen in the future, therefore with halving that will happen, I am sure that the increase will be further increased after halving.
Controlling does not mean the virus will go away, that would help a bit but it is not what we want, we want our life to be back to normal so we can enjoy going outside without a threat, the pandemic is still here and it will stay as long as no vaccine is created.
When the economy is bad, its easy to predict because the stocks will be down as well, but crypto is very unpredictable that is why we have some pretty good price now.