It's just like you say, before splitting a block from 12.5 btc in half, there's always madness and people are buying for a lower price. I don't think bitcoin drops after splitting, somehow sharply. I think we'll wait a little longer for ATH.
We're very close. $10K is a hand reach away. The madness and the boredom in lockdown made this all crazy. If the new ATH really will go up to $50,000 as some speculators had said, I wouldn't commit the same mistake I did the last time the bulls are here.
Do you think there will be a correction after the halving?