I'm not as optimistic as you are, the fact that bitcoin is still in a downtrend, the best chance for bitcoin to break the downtrend is before the halving event but it didn't work, we still see the trend. decrease for a long time to come
I agree with you, BTC is still in the downtrend phase, but I believe after this decline is a big pump.
I firmly believe that any of us interested in cryptocurrencies wants a new altcoin season. Hopefully, this will happen soon this year.