I am more optimistic than you. According to the development history of BTC, after halving BTC has caused an uptrend. I hope this year it will still take place, although I'm pretty sure BTC will be hard to surpass 10k. All we need to do is wait patiently.
I don't think it will be hard to surpass, it can surpass the $10 k mark, it's just now that the market is still not feeling the effect of the halving, only time can tell, it could be in a short period or time or much longer but it will eventually reach the $10 k mark my prediction is the month of July is where it will reach the $10 k mark.
I'm also not too sure about that, it's just a temporary price hike and it's not certain that it will break the 10k $, market conditions are stable now.
BTC is in the range of 9900-9100 for several weeks.
maybe a high price increase will occur next year.