,,,,
BTW, looking at FL Rt=1.06 from rt.live I am officially scared for the rest of the country. Not sure if Rt from rt.live is helpful, NY Rt=1.07
I think it is just better to use
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries numbers and look at the rate of change at various points.
Okay, let's use that one.
It shows the US to have about a 4% death rate on those infected, so extrapolating that straight out over the 331M population would predict a US death count of 13m.
That's not 50-100M.